It’s time for our third main of the PGA Tour season, the U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. This would be the 121st U.S. Open and the second time that it has been performed at Torrey Pines. The final time was in 2008 in what can be Tiger Woods’ final main championship victory earlier than his wonderful run on the 2019 Masters. Whereas Tiger will not be within the area this yr, that is nonetheless a completely stacked group of golfers, which makes it more difficult to fill out a PGA DFS lineup.
The 7,652-yard, par-71 course has modified barely through the years however nonetheless options slender fairways and thick tough along with poa annua greens. The second gap is the one par four beneath 400 yards on the course. The signature par-Three third gap is measured at 195 yards, however with a number of tee containers and wind instructions, gamers might be utilizing any variety of golf equipment to assault this gap all through the week. The simplest gap ought to as soon as once more be the 568-yard par-5 finisher, which can make for prime ranges of drama down the stretch.
U.S. OPEN BETTING: Finest bets, sleepers
The largest change over the 13 years would be the area. These gamers are extra analytical, stronger, leaner and general higher. The South course at Torrey sometimes ranks contained in the top-15 hardest in Fairways Hit, Greens in Regulation, Proximity, and Scrambling. Driving, method and scrambling will likely be keys to success.
We should always see excellent circumstances this weekend. The climate seems to be to be typical of San Diego in the summertime, with temperatures within the mid-to-high 70s. As of proper now, the forecast has the winds being comparatively calm sitting between eight-to-12 MPH all through the weekend.
PGA DFS technique for U.S. Open 2021
The U.S. Open has at all times been recognized for making an attempt to problem all components of the participant’s sport, from the psychological to the bodily. You’ll have all the same old traits of the U.S. Open with slender fairways, thick tough, and greens like hardwood flooring. A participant like Bryson DeChambeau gained’t be capable to overpower this course the best way he did at Winged Foot in 2020. The tough will take its toll of those gamers if they will’t hold it within the brief grass. I’m going to be concentrating on gamers who’ve expertise taking part in in U.S. Open and know what it takes to win. I’m not taking away something from what DeChambeau did in 2020 — it was phenomenal — however I’m simply saying this week will likely be a special story.
When Tiger Woods gained the U.S. Open on Torrey in 2008, he completed with a rating of one-under par. If you take a look at the common profitable rating of the Farmers Insurance coverage Open over the previous 5 years, it’s practically 15-under par. That’s why I’ll take a look at the latest outcomes on the Farmers, however it gained’t be closely weighted, this week will play harder than it did again in January. I count on the winner to return in round four- to six-under par.
U.S. Open DFS picks
Brooks Koepka: Koepka freely admits that he doesn’t rise up mentally for an everyday tour occasion like he does for a significant championship. He is aware of that his profession will likely be outlined by what number of main titles he wins. He missed the minimize on the Masters, however I’m writing that off due to the knee surgical procedure. For those who take that out, he completed runner-up eventually month’s PGA Championship, seventh on the 2020 Masters, gained the ’19 PGA Championship, runner-up on the ’19 Masters, gained the PGA & U.S. Open in ’18, and gained the ’17 U.S. Open. I belief Koepka’s psychological sport being stronger than most anybody else within the area this weekend.
Jon Rahm: For those who don’t suppose Rahm doesn’t have an enormous chip on his shoulder heading into this weekend, I’ve some ocean entrance property to promote you in Omaha. A six-stroke lead heading into Sunday on the Memorial simply received wiped away, and you do not suppose he is going to return out weapons blazing on the U.S. Open? He additionally has an excellent observe document at Torrey Pines with a win and runner-up end on the Farmers Insurance coverage. He’s second on tour in “Strokes Gained: Tee to Inexperienced,” third in “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee,” fifth in “Greens in Regulation,” and 12th in “Strokes Gained: Strategy.” The one cause to not like him is his value, however I’m going to pay up.
Will Zalatoris: What extra can I say about this child that hasn’t been stated 100 occasions over? The one factor he hasn’t accomplished but in his younger profession is win, however he got here darn shut with a runner-up end on the Masters. He additionally completed eighth on the PGA Championship. That is only one of his seven top-10 finishes in 2021. This child can crush the ball off the tee (25th in “Driving Distance”), ball strike with the perfect of them on tour (third in “Strokes Gained: Strategy” and seventh in “Strokes Gained: Tee to Inexperienced”) and put himself into place to make birdies typically (14th in “Greens in Regulation”). Whereas his final outing on the Charles Schwab was his worst end in his younger profession (59th place), I’m really hoping that may kill a few of his possession this weekend.
Gary Woodland: Woodland has been an afterthought on the PGA Tour since his U.S. Open victory at Pebble Seaside in 2019. He struggled after the massive win after which handled a hip harm on the finish of ’20. We’ve seen indicators of life in his sport over the previous two months beginning with a top-10 end on the Valero and adopted that up with a top-five end a couple of weeks later on the Wells Fargo. He nonetheless ranks 10th in “Driving Distance” and high 50 in “Strokes Gained: Strategy” regardless of his struggles within the early a part of the season. I believe he’ll be decrease owned than gamers like Jason Kokrak, Joaquin Niemann, Sungjae Im and Shane Lowry in the same value vary.
Shane Lowry: The reigning Open Champion is rounding into high type as we get nearer to his title protection. I really feel Shane Lowry is flying beneath the radar regardless of three top-10 finishes in his previous 4 begins; ninth on the RBC Heritage, fourth on the PGA Championship, and sixth in Memorial Match. He additionally completed 21st on the Masters. He does have two top-10 finishes in his U.S. Open historical past. Whereas he hasn’t gained this championship, he does nonetheless have the Claret Jug at dwelling, in order that scores further factors with me. Among the best gamers all through his bag rating inside the highest 45 in all Strokes Gained classes besides placing. That’s about as constant as you will get in the case of a PGA Tour skilled.
Jhonattan Vegas: One thing has awoken in Vegas over the previous few weeks, and I personally like to see it. He simply completed runner-up on the Palmetto and ninth on the Byron Nelson in his earlier begin. Why not trip the recent hand? Among the best drivers on the PGA Tour, Vegas could be a birdie machine if he will get issues rolling. Torrey Pines calls for a great driver, and that’s his finest talent on the golf course. He presently ranks fourth in “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee” and 14th in “Driving Distance.”
Jason Kokrak: Jason gained his first PGA Tour occasion earlier this yr on the CJ Cup and used that momentum to attain his second win on the Charles Schwab only a couple weeks in the past. Other than these victories, he has top-10 finishes at WGC-Workday, Arnold Palmer, and The Gamers. At 36, he has all of the size wanted to tame Torrey Pines, rating 22nd in each “Driving Distance” and “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee.” He’s additionally fifth on Tour in “Strokes Gained: Placing,” 14th in “Par 5 Scoring,” and 25th in “Greens in Regulation.” Kokrak has back-to-back top-30 finishes on the Farmers Insurance coverage Open.