This week, the PGA tour shifts its sights to Augusta Nationwide — in my view, the crown jewel of all of them — for the 2021 Masters. The course has bentgrass greens and measures at about 7,475 yards for a par 72. There are a ton of iconic holes, however nothing tops the Amen Nook stretch of 11, 12, and 13. Dustin Johnson, the defending champion, is available in because the betting favourite with +950 odds — understandably so, as he set a event file in 2019.
The sector ought to function 88 golfers enjoying for the long-lasting inexperienced jacket. With regards to the climate, there are purported to be, rain-free, good circumstances (fingers crossed). The monitor itself is projected to play quick and agency. This yr’s occasion will probably be somewhat completely different than final yr, as followers will probably be allowed again at a restricted capability.
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Per Rick Gehman, the 2 most correlated stats that result in success at this occasion are “Driving Distance” and “Strokes Gained: Complete.”
Betting on golf all the time appears to come back all the way down to the wire, which is why I’ve turn into hooked. I’ve a sense that is going to be a basic, so I can’t wait. Let’s dig in and see if we will win some cash this week.
With regards to my betting picks beneath, you will not discover something too groundbreaking, however apart from digging into the information on the RickRunGood.com database, I attempt to search for guys at stable values who’ve had previous success on the explicit course and/or gamers who’re trending in the appropriate path coming into the occasion.
Masters picks, predictions 2021
*Odds by way of DraftKings Sportsbook
Greatest bets to win outright
I completely love Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth, however historical past says successful this event back-to-back (DJ) and successful two consecutive weeks (Spieth) are simply powerful to do. So, I’m going with just a few different guys this week.
Patrick Cantlay +2050
I see worth on Cantlay at this quantity. He’s stable at each aspect of his sport and has been top-of-the-line gamers within the sport over the previous six months. His “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-green” numbers are higher than everybody else’s, and his lengthy iron play is second to none. He is additionally had previous success at this course, ending tied for ninth and 17th in his previous two journeys.
Cantlay is also within the prime 5 of the RickRunGood Tournament Predictor. Guys that pop up on the prime of his mannequin simulations all the time are typically within the combine come Sunday. It isn’t the top all be all, however it’s one other software to make the most of when making an attempt to slender down the cardboard. At this worth, he’s one in every of my favourite bets of the weekend.
Patrick Reed +3500
Getting 35-1 odds for a former champion is juicy. He received the Farmers Insurance coverage Open earlier this yr, as properly. Reed is a type of guys that will get up for these sorts of occasions, and I’m certain he’s going to be coming in with a chip on his shoulder realizing that not many are choosing him to win. The one large metric his sport is missing proper now’s “Driving Distance,” however hopefully he’ll be capable of make up for it along with his robust placing sport and iron play.
Greatest sleeper/long-shot picks
I’m on the lookout for guys who’re longer than 35-1 odds for this part. These guys are studs in their very own proper, so it’s form of loopy to name them lengthy photographs, however for this part, they serve their objective. If any of them are within the combine come Sunday, I’ll presumably attempt to dwell guess and hedge somewhat to ensure I pocket some pizza cash.
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Fitzpatrick has been some of the constant gamers on Tour this season with 4 top-11 finishes. He’s driving the ball higher and additional, and he additionally ranks fourth among the many subject in “Strokes Gained: Complete.” These are two of the large metrics that often name for achievement at this event, so at 40-1, I can’t resist. He additionally has a top-10 end right here up to now, which is the icing on the cake for me.
Will Zalatoris +7500
Zalatoris, the younger phenom, is likely one of the leaders in “Strokes Gained: Complete” and has performed stable golf all season lengthy. He is additionally prime 20 in “Driving Distance,” which is large right here. The difficulty is expertise. Like Collin Morikawa final yr, irrespective of how properly you might be enjoying, this course takes some studying to beat. However at these odds, he’s price a small sprinkle.
Talking of Morikawa, I guess him some time in the past at +3000 pondering I’d get a greater quantity. Sadly for me, his odds sit across the identical worth at present. I nonetheless suppose it’s an excellent time to purchase excessive on him, as I like the child and his iron play. His feedback this week appeared to point that he discovered so much from his expertise final yr, which will probably be a giant enhance for him come this week.
I additionally took a small nibble of Brooks Koepka at +3000. Every thing signifies he’s going to play, however he’s nonetheless getting back from knee surgical procedure, so who is aware of? There’s simply one thing about him and large occasions, although. He has that particular skill to rise to the event, so I will take the bait. I’m already splurging this week, so what’s a pair extra bucks? It’s Masters week, so let’s get pleasure from it.
There you might have it. Hope you guys can get pleasure from this prestigious occasion and win some cash on it on the identical time.