Didn’t we simply do that just a few months in the past? Belief me, I am not complaining about seeing Augusta Nationwide greater than as soon as in a 12-month interval. In my thoughts, The Masters is the Tremendous Bowl of the PGA Tour season, and as Jim Nantz likes to say, “it’s a convention not like some other.” It additionally presents among the best and enjoyable DFS golf alternatives you may discover all 12 months.
You may mainly ignore all the amateurs and the previous timers taking part in this weekend. It’s all in regards to the 50 gamers who’ve a authentic likelihood to win this weekend. My job is to offer you the golfers I really feel have the most effective mixture of worth, possession, and degree of play that will help you win come Sunday. It’s all the time extraordinarily tough to slender down my DFS Playbook to those choose few, particularly from the highest tier. I would not fault you for those who performed anybody priced $9,000 and up.
MASTERS BETTING: Greatest bets, sleepers | Prime props
I say this each time the Masters rolls round, nevertheless it actually is a singular occasion that each fan of the game seems to be ahead to. Rising up, there have been few issues I loved greater than watching Sunday at Augusta with my dad. The Masters additionally formally signifies the beginning of the golf season, which suggests dusting off the previous golf equipment and getting out to the driving vary.
PGA DFS technique for Masters 2021
If you discuss Augusta Nationwide, I don’t really want to enter a lot element as a result of it is one of the crucial well-known programs on the earth. It’s a par 72 that measures out to between 7,400 and seven,500 yards relying on the each day setup. This course could be very tough and true check of a golfer’s recreation. There are very lengthy par 4s and reachable par 5s. The greens are all the time the quickest on tour and exhausting for these gamers to stay due to the shave edges. Because the course was lengthened in 2010, we have seen a majority of 300-yard bombers successful or ending within the high 10, however there are exceptions to each rule, particularly Charl Schwartzel, Danny Willett, Jordan Spieth, and Patrick Reed. When wanting over the course historical past, good “Greens in regulation” numbers have been discovered to be very helpful to success at Augusta.
Augusta Nationwide will all the time be referred to as a second-shot course. Meaning our favourite stat comes again into play this weekend: “Strokes Gained: Method.” Meaning concentrating on nice lengthy iron gamers, aka ball strikers. Tiger Woods is perhaps essentially the most excellent iron participant ever, and that’s why he has 5 inexperienced jackets hanging in his closet. It’s the one strategy to rating on this course, placing your self in as many birdie-making alternatives as attainable. Tiger was additionally the most effective scrambler within the historical past of the sport, which places that into my key stats of the week.
Course historical past is vitally essential on the subject of the Masters, even when it is only one earlier journey like we noticed with Danny Willett and Jordan Spieth over the previous few years. No participant has received at Augusta on their first try since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. If you take a look at the top-20 leaderboard from again in November, you’ll see lots of gamers with expertise. Thaht stated, we did additionally see just a few first-timers, equivalent to Sungjae Im, C.T. Pan, and Cameron Champ slip into the combo.
I’ll as soon as once more not put Bryson DeChambeau into my Playbook. I do know all about his expertise and success just lately, however he’ll try to overpower Augusta and I simply don’t suppose that may occur. He might have a superb spherical or two, however I don’t suppose he can do it for 4 days. Be happy to roster him as a lot as you prefer to, I will have restricted shares personally — and you may name me an Augusta purest — however I wish to see it work earlier than I consider.
Lastly, the climate all the time performs an element at Augusta as a result of it’s recognized for altering on a whim. We’re seeing rain within the forecast on Friday and Saturday. The temperatures might be within the excessive 70s and low 80s with humidity ranges about 50 p.c all through the weekend.
Strokes Gained: Method
Strokes Gained: Placing
Greens in Regulation
Par 5 Birdie or Higher
ONE-AND-DONE PICK: Jordan Spieth (If you’re afraid of his possession in your league, I would additionally advocate Patrick Cantlay)
Masters DFS picks
Dustin Johnson: I’ve been going backwards and forwards on this all week. He didn’t look nice in his final three begins on the WGC-Workday, The Gamers, or the WGC-Match Play, then selected to not play on the Valero. I feel the Valero skip was extra for him to get himself proper earlier than the Masters. I feel the reigning champ will get neglected attributable to these considerations, however I’ll play him, particularly with as a lot worth as there may be on this discipline. I haven’t got to provide the stats so that you can know the way good he’s.
Jordan Spieth: What can I say about Spieth? He lastly made me a believer — and I feel lots of different individuals, too. It has been so exhausting for me to determine what his possession degree might be this weekend. My first thought since he is coming off of a win and such a terrific begin to the season (5 top-10 finishes in his previous seven begins) is that his possession might be by the roof. However then there is perhaps many considering that he put all that effort into successful final week, so he is perhaps drained like what occurred to Scottie Scheffler final weekend. I’ll play him as a result of even when he’s extremely owned, I will make certain to get some decrease owned guys to differenetiate. The stats converse for themselves this season, as he ranks 17th in “Strokes Gained: Across the Inexperienced,” “23rd in Strokes Gained: Method,” and 35th in “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced.”
Matthew Fitzpatrick: Fitzpatrick has had a incredible begin to the 2021 season. Because the Genesis Open in mid-February, he’s completed fifth, 11th, 10th, ninth, and 18th. This might be his six journey to Augusta, and he has but to overlook the reduce in his 5 journeys prior. He scored a top-10 end in his first journey the Masters again in 2016, however he has just one top-25 end since. He is 24th in “Strokes Gained: Off The Tee,” “25th in Strokes Gained: Placing,” 27th in “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced,” and 38th in “Strokes Gained: Across the Inexperienced.” That makes for a imply mixture at Augusta Nationwide.
Si Woo Kim: Kim all the time makes for a incredible match play due to his boom-or-bust nature. It has been extra of the identical this season with a win on the American Categorical and a missed reduce in three of his subsequent 4 begins. He then completed ninth at The Gamers and 23rd on the Valero final week. In his previous three appearances on the Masters, he has two top-25 finishes. I am unable to consider he is nonetheless simply 25. He at present ranks 22nd in “Strokes Gained: Across the Inexperienced,” 38th in “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced,” and 37th in “Strokes Gained: Whole.” He’s solely a GPP play for me however a darn good one.
Will Zalatoris: Zalatoris might be extremely owned this week, I am telling you proper now. Everybody has seen what he is performed in such a short while on the PGA Tour, and his price ticket is superb for his talent degree. He has made a grand whole of 14 begins of the PGA Tour since his debut on the U.S. Open. He solely has one missed reduce and two finishes greater than 30th. The remainder of his finishes embody 4 high 10s, three high 20s, and one other three high 30s in his brief professional profession. The dude completed sixth in his first main begin. This 24-year-old Wake Forest alum ranks fourth in “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced,” fifth in “Strokes Gained: Method,” and 26th in “Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee.” There’s nothing this child cannot do on the golf course.
Brian Harman: This Georgia boy is aware of all too nicely the significance and that means of successful the Masters. Harman has not missed a reduce in 2021, posting three top-10 finishes. That features top-five finishes his previous two outings (third at The Gamers and fifth on the WGC-Match Play). If you look over the tendencies, gamers who’ve success main into Masters have normally fared higher. He’s additionally one of many higher putters on the PGA Tour, rating 21st in “Strokes Gained: Placing,” and everyone knows the significance of that talent at Augusta. I like this Goergia Bulldog to garner consideration all through the weekend.