How far will Aaron Rodgers’ holdout go?
Rodgers didn’t attend Inexperienced Bay’s three-day minicamp this week, which implies the three-time MVP is taken into account a holdout. It will price Rodgers lower than $100,000 in fines except the Packers waive these prices.
Now, the subsequent date to look at is July 27. That is when the Packers open obligatory coaching camp forward of the 2021 NFL season. If Rodgers nonetheless is holding out at that time, then the rift with Inexperienced Bay president Mark Murphy and normal supervisor Brian Gutekunst may attain a tipping level. It might be the most notable holdout since Emmitt Smith with the Cowboys in 1993.
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That is totally different, nevertheless. Rodgers is a quarterback. The final quarterback to sit down out a full season was Kelly Stouffer, who couldn’t comply with a contract with the Cardinals after being chosen within the first spherical in 1987. Once more, although, this is not the identical state of affairs.
However there are parallels with the rift former No. 1 decide Carson Palmer had with the Bengals in 2011. Palmer was ultimately traded to Oakland through the season, however not till after a messy divorce with the Bengals. And sure, Rodgers’ agent Dave Dunn was additionally Palmer’s agent.
Will Rodgers and the Packers come to the identical conclusion? Maybe. However there are main variations between the 2 holdouts, and people must be addressed.
State of the franchise
The Bengals completed 4-12 in Palmer’s seventh season in 2010, and he completed with 3,970 yards, 26 TDs and 20 interceptions. “Palmer had a gathering with Bengals proprietor Mike Brown to request for a separation from the staff, coupled with a risk to retire if that demand was not met,” Cincinnati.com reported in January 2011.
A decade later, Rodgers addressed his future after the Packers misplaced the second of back-to-back NFC championship video games to Tampa Bay on Jan. 19, 2020. He referred to as his state of affairs with the Packers a “lovely thriller,” which continued the continued hypothesis about his future in Inexperienced Bay regardless of a 26-6 regular-season report with Matt LaFleur as head coach.
Is that this totally different? Sure and no. Inexperienced Bay is a Tremendous Bowl-caliber staff, and Rodgers has saved them within the hunt for 16 seasons. Palmer and the Bengals have been an up-and-down staff that didn’t advance previous the AFC Wild Card spherical. However clearly the problems that led to the discontent of each quarterbacks did not occur in a single day.
The following quarterback
Palmer’s calls for led Cincinnati to draft Andy Dalton with the No. 35 decide within the 2011 NFL Draft. Dalton led TCU to a 13-Zero report that included a Mountain West Convention championship and a Rose Bowl victory in opposition to Wisconsin the earlier season. He served as an insurance coverage coverage of types in case Palmer wouldn’t return.
The Packers already created their downside by buying and selling as much as draft Jordan Love with the No. 26 decide within the 2020 NFL Draft. Love additionally performed within the Mountain West Convention at Utah State. He led the Aggies to an 11-2 report in 2018, however that report dipped to 7-6 with a brand new teaching workers the next season. Inexperienced Bay drafted Love as a substitute of including one other extra rapid piece to a returning NFC championship staff.
Is that this totally different? Sure. Cincinnati made the transfer as a response to Palmer’s discontent. Inexperienced Bay created the discontent by buying and selling up so as to add a quarterback to a roster that was ready-made to contend for a Tremendous Bowl. That opened the door for criticism that hasn’t stopped since.
In keeping with Cincinnati.com, stories that Palmer mentioned he would by no means step foot in Paul Brown Stadium surfaced in March. Bengals proprietor Mike Brown publicly mentioned after the NFL lockout that offseason that Palmer wouldn’t be traded. Brown doubled down at coaching camp in July, telling reporters, “I want him effectively and he has retired. That’s his alternative.” Brown adopted by means of on that, and the staff positioned Palmer on the “didn’t report” record forward of the 2011 season.
Rodgers has indirectly mentioned he wouldn’t play for the Packers in 2021, however ESPN insider Adam Schefter’s report that the quarterback is disgruntled and desires out overshadowed the primary spherical of the 2021 NFL Draft on April 29. Murphy and Gutekunst have repeatedly expressed that Rodgers won’t be traded forward of the 2021 season, however the state of affairs is beginning to resemble Brett Favre’s exit from Inexperienced Bay in 2008. Favre was traded to the Jets that season.
Now, the query turns into whether or not Rodgers stories for coaching camp in July. That would be the focus over the subsequent six weeks.
Is that this totally different? The conditions are related, even when Rodgers hasn’t publicly requested for a commerce. Each quarterbacks play for old-school possession, and Inexperienced Bay may observe the identical path as Cincinnati if there isn’t a fence-mending with Rodgers.
The common season
The Bengals opened the 2011 season with a 4-2 report by means of the bye week with Dalton at quarterback, and that prompted Brown to commerce Palmer to the Raiders on Oct. 18, 2011. Cincinnati went on to a 9-7 report and reached the AFC Wild Card spherical.
That is the potential subsequent step for the Packers if Rodgers’ holdout stretches into the season. Love could be the potential Week 1 starter in opposition to New Orleans regardless of not taking a snap in 2020. That’s a dangerous transfer contemplating that a lot of the Packers’ roster from these previous two NFC championship runs stays on board. If Rodgers’ holdout drags on by means of coaching camp, it should get extra consideration than the circus with Favre in 2008.
Is that this totally different? The worst-case state of affairs for the Packers might be catastrophic. The franchise would watch back-to-back Corridor of Fame quarterbacks go away in unceremonious trend, and Rodgers’ state of affairs already has divided the fan base in an identical manner. As a result of Palmer had not performed effectively in 2020, it was simpler for Cincinnati followers to show towards Dalton. Love would face far more strain in Inexperienced Bay if he’s the starter, which isn’t a positive factor at this level given the shortage of expertise.
Dalton had a 70-61-2 report in 9 seasons with the Bengals, and he led the franchise to 5 playoff appearances. Cincinnati didn’t win any of these video games, and the franchise moved on final season by drafting Joe Burrow with the No. 1 decide. Palmer had a 44-37-1 report in seven seasons with Oakland and Arizona after leaving Cincinnati, and his lone postseason victory for his profession got here in opposition to the Packers in 2016.
The Packers could be banking on yet one more stroke of luck. Rodgers’ first season was bumpy as a starter, however he turned out to be a extra environment friendly Favre. That’s led to a 12-9 postseason report and a Tremendous Bowl 45 victory. Love could be tasked with residing as much as not possible expectations, however the identical might be true of whoever takes the snaps after Rodgers leaves Inexperienced Bay, which appears to be like like it should occur even when it’s not through the 2020 season.
Is that this totally different? The parallels with the Palmer state of affairs are there, particularly if Rodgers holds out, however the stakes are a lot larger in Inexperienced Bay. The Packers’ state of affairs stays TBD, and July might be very fascinating if Rodgers doesn’t present up.